TRENDS OF CHANGE IN BELARUSIAN PUBLIC OPINION
about some social-economic and political problems
(results of IISEPS national polls, %)
1. How your personal welfare has changed over the past 3 months?
|
Variant of answer |
09'05 |
11'06 |
09'07 |
09'08 |
09'09 |
09'10 |
03'11 |
06'11 |
09'11 |
12'11 |
|
has improved |
17.5 |
21.0 |
16.6 |
17.4 |
10.9 |
18.7 |
17.2 |
1.6 |
5.1 |
7.1 |
|
hasn’t changed |
61.4 |
64.7 |
67.1 |
59.0 |
47.9 |
56.7 |
54.8 |
23.2 |
20.0 |
31.3 |
|
has deteriorated |
19.8 |
12.8 |
15.6 |
21.9 |
36.9 |
23.6 |
26.9 |
73.4 |
73.7 |
59.8 |
|
DA/NA |
1.3 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
1.7 |
4.3 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
2. How will social-economic situation in the country change in years to come?
|
Variant of answer |
09'05 |
11'06 |
09'07 |
09'08 |
09'09 |
09'10 |
03'11 |
06'11 |
09'11 |
12'11 |
|
will improve |
30.9 |
42.5 |
29.3 |
34.0 |
33.0 |
25.5 |
29.2 |
11.9 |
12.9 |
17.1 |
|
will not change |
45.1 |
37.7 |
40.6 |
40.8 |
34.9 |
43.9 |
42.0 |
20.3 |
24.1 |
24.8 |
|
will deteriorate |
14.9 |
10.7 |
22.5 |
18.2 |
20.8 |
19.6 |
23.0 |
55.5 |
52.7 |
45.0 |
|
DA/NA |
9.1 |
9.1 |
7.6 |
7.0 |
11.3 |
11.0 |
5.8 |
12.3 |
10.3 |
13.1 |
3. In general, Belarus is going ...
|
Variant of answer |
09'05 |
11'06 |
09'07 |
09'08 |
09'09 |
09'10 |
03'11 |
06'11 |
09'11 |
12'11 |
|
In the right direction |
53.4 |
61.6 |
50.2 |
54.3 |
53.3 |
51.1 |
45.3 |
26.1 |
17.0 |
25.6 |
|
In the wrong direction |
30.2 |
24.0 |
34.2 |
30.0 |
31.0 |
31.7 |
40.0 |
61.8 |
68.5 |
55.7 |
|
DA/NA |
16.4 |
14.4 |
15.6 |
16.6 |
15.7 |
17.2 |
14.7 |
12.1 |
14.5 |
18.7 |
4.Do you trust president of Belarus?
|
Variant of answer |
09'05 |
11'06 |
12'07 |
09'08 |
09'09 |
09'10 |
03'11 |
06'11 |
09'11 |
12'11 |
|
Yes |
54.1 |
60.3 |
50.9 |
51.9 |
49.2 |
49.7 |
47.9 |
35.7 |
24.5 |
31.2 |
|
No |
32.4 |
26.0 |
35.5 |
32.1 |
37.2 |
40.2 |
42.0 |
53.8 |
62.0 |
54.5 |
|
DA/NA |
13.5 |
13.7 |
13.6 |
16.0 |
13.6 |
10.1 |
10.1 |
10.5 |
13.5 |
14.3 |
5. It the President elections takes place tomorrow in Belarus, who would you vote for?
|
Variant of answer |
09'10 |
10'10 |
12'10 |
03'11 |
06'11 |
09'11 |
12'11 |
|
A. Lukashenko |
39.0 |
44.0 |
53.0 |
42.9 |
29.3 |
20.5 |
24.9 |
|
A. Sannikov |
0.3 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
4.7 |
7.4 |
6.2 |
7.1 |
|
V. Neklyaev |
1.1 |
7.7 |
6.9 |
7.7 |
5.4 |
8.8 |
6.0 |
|
Other politicians |
22.4 |
6.6 |
7.9 |
10.9 |
11.2 |
10.1 |
9.0 |
|
Other answers |
5.2 |
4.8 |
5.4 |
8.7 |
13.6 |
11.8 |
8.7 |
|
DA/NA |
32.0 |
33.9 |
23.6 |
25.1 |
33.1 |
42.6 |
44.3 |
6. If the referendum on Russia-Belarus unification takes place today, who would you vote?
|
Variant of answer |
11'06 |
09'07 |
09'08 |
09'09 |
09'10 |
03'11 |
06'11 |
12'11 |
|
Against unification |
33.5 |
47.4 |
35.8 |
40.6 |
45.4 |
53.1 |
47.8 |
42.9 |
|
For unification |
46.4 |
33.8 |
46.3 |
39.1 |
33.1 |
29.2 |
31.4 |
29.0 |
|
Wouldn’t vote |
10.6 |
11.0 |
9.7 |
14.2 |
13.9 |
10.7 |
12.9 |
20.3 |
|
DA/NA |
9.5 |
7.8 |
8.2 |
6.1 |
7.6 |
7.0 |
7.9 |
7.8 |
7. If you were to choose between integration with Russia and accession to the European Union, which one would you choose?
|
Variant of answer |
09'05 |
04'06 |
12'07 |
09'08 |
09'09 |
09'10 |
03'11 |
06'11 |
09'11 |
12'11 |
|
Accession to the European Union |
28.6 |
31.9 |
33.3 |
26.2 |
42.7 |
41.7 |
50.5 |
44.5 |
42.0 |
39.1 |
|
Integration with Russia |
59.2 |
56.1 |
47.5 |
54.0 |
38.3 |
34.9 |
31.5 |
35.3 |
41.5 |
41.4 |
|
DA/NA |
12.2 |
12.0 |
19.2 |
19.8 |
19.0 |
23.4 |
18.0 |
20.2 |
16.5 |
19.5 |
8. If the referendum on accession to the European Union takes place tomorrow, how would you vote?
|
Variant of answer |
12'05 |
11'06 |
09'07 |
09'08 |
09'09 |
09'10 |
03'11 |
06'11 |
12'11 |
|
For |
32.0 |
36.0 |
29.9 |
26.7 |
44.1 |
42.2 |
48.6 |
45.1 |
35.9 |
|
Against |
26.8 |
36.2 |
46.7 |
51.9 |
32.8 |
32.5 |
30.5 |
32.4 |
36.9 |
|
Wouldn’t vote |
20.4 |
15.5 |
12.5 |
12.2 |
14.8 |
15.9 |
12.1 |
14.9 |
19.0 |
|
DA/NA |
20.8 |
12.3 |
10.9 |
9.2 |
8.3 |
9.4 |
8.8 |
7.6 |
8.2 |
9. Do you use internet?
|
Variant of answer |
09'05 |
11'06 |
12'07 |
09'08 |
12'09 |
10'10 |
03'11 |
06'11 |
09'11 |
12'11 |
|
Yes, daily |
4.1 |
6.3 |
7.0 |
9.4 |
13.0 |
15.2 |
23.9 |
24.1 |
32.4 |
26.3 |
|
Yes, some times a week |
7.0 |
7.7 |
8.7 |
11.9 |
11.7 |
11.9 |
19.7 |
15.6 |
14.8 |
16.3 |
|
Yes, some times a month |
6.6 |
11.1 |
6.4 |
11.3 |
12.7 |
8.6 |
9.2 |
6.7 |
5.9 |
8.5 |
|
Yes, some times a year |
2.9 |
4.1 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
|
No |
68.4 |
65.1 |
69.1 |
60.2 |
51.1 |
58.1 |
41.5 |
47.6 |
40.9 |
42.0 |
|
I have no idea what it is |
1.9 |
5.5 |
5.0 |
3.6 |
7.5 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
4.7 |
|
NA |
9.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
10. Do you want the restoration of the USSR?
|
Variant of answer |
11'93 |
11'97 |
11'99 |
04'02 |
06'04 |
04'06 |
12'08 |
12'09 |
03'11 |
|
Yes |
55.1 |
49.9 |
38.0 |
38.8 |
39.5 |
26.7 |
21.5 |
26.7 |
24.4 |
|
No |
22.3 |
25.5 |
30.1 |
42.6 |
50.8 |
63.4 |
63.3 |
60.5 |
60.8 |
|
DA/NA |
22.6 |
24.6 |
31.9 |
18.6 |
9.7 |
9.9 |
15.2 |
12.8 |
14.8 |
11. Language in common use
|
Variant of answer |
06'95 |
11'97 |
11'99 |
11'00 |
09'02 |
03'03 |
03'04 |
06'06 |
09'10 |
06'11 |
|
Belarusian |
4.5 |
5.7 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
5.4 |
4.7 |
7.1 |
3.8 |
3.2 |
1.9 |
|
Russian |
37.3 |
40.4 |
39.0 |
37.6 |
44.2 |
45.9 |
47.4 |
57.1 |
59.2 |
57.1 |
|
Belarusian and Russian |
7.8 |
20.3 |
23.1 |
25.7 |
21.2 |
19.9 |
17.3 |
13.8 |
14.9 |
15.9 |
|
A mixture of the two |
50.0 |
32.5 |
33.3 |
31.3 |
25.4 |
28.7 |
27.8 |
22.9 |
22.5 |
24.8 |
|