TRENDS OF CHANGE IN BELARUSIAN PUBLIC OPINION
about some social-economic and political problems
(results of IISEPS national polls, %)
1. How your personal welfare has changed over the past 3 months?
|
Variant of answer |
09'05 |
11'06 |
09'07 |
09'08 |
03'09 |
06'09 |
09'09 |
12'09 |
03'10 |
06'10 |
|
has improved |
17.5 |
21.0 |
16.6 |
17.4 |
1.9 |
5.5 |
10.9 |
7.3 |
9.3 |
13.9 |
|
hasn’t changed |
61.4 |
64.7 |
67.1 |
59.0 |
31.0 |
56.9 |
47.9 |
65.7 |
59.8 |
65.1 |
|
has deteriorated |
19.8 |
12.8 |
15.6 |
21.9 |
63.8 |
36.5 |
36.9 |
26.0 |
29.8 |
19.7 |
|
DA/NA |
1.3 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
1.7 |
3.3 |
1.1 |
4.3 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
2. How will social-economic situation in the country change in years to come?
|
Variant of answer |
09'05 |
11'06 |
09'07 |
09'08 |
03'09 |
06'09 |
09'09 |
12'09 |
03'10 |
06'10 |
|
will improve |
30.9 |
42.5 |
29.3 |
34.0 |
13.7 |
28.3 |
33.0 |
34.7 |
29.3 |
24.7 |
|
will not change |
45.1 |
37.7 |
40.6 |
40.8 |
30.5 |
38.0 |
34.9 |
37.3 |
46.0 |
52.9 |
|
will deteriorate |
14.9 |
10.7 |
22.5 |
18.2 |
45.9 |
25.4 |
20.8 |
15.7 |
18.8 |
13.6 |
|
DA/NA |
9.1 |
9.1 |
7.6 |
7.0 |
9.9 |
8.3 |
11.3 |
12.3 |
5.9 |
8.8 |
3. In general, Belarus is going ...
|
Variant of answer |
09'05 |
11'06 |
09'07 |
09'08 |
03'09 |
06'09 |
09'09 |
12'09 |
03'10 |
06'10 |
|
In the right direction |
53.4 |
61.6 |
50.2 |
53.4 |
40.0 |
47.9 |
53.3 |
47.2 |
49.5 |
49.5 |
|
In the wrong direction |
30.2 |
24.0 |
34.2 |
30.0 |
34.9 |
33.6 |
31.0 |
32.0 |
35.6 |
33.6 |
|
DA/NA |
16.4 |
14.4 |
15.6 |
16.6 |
25.1 |
18.5 |
15.7 |
20.8 |
14.9 |
16.9 |
4.Do you trust president of Belarus?
|
Variant of answer |
09'05 |
11'06 |
12'07 |
09'08 |
03'09 |
06'09 |
09'09 |
12'09 |
03'10 |
06'10 |
|
Yes |
54.1 |
60.3 |
50.9 |
51.9 |
45.4 |
50.6 |
49.2 |
50.9 |
49.8 |
54.3 |
|
No |
32.4 |
26.0 |
35.5 |
32.1 |
38.1 |
35.3 |
37.2 |
36.8 |
37.0 |
34.1 |
|
DA/NA |
13.5 |
13.7 |
13.6 |
16.0 |
16.5 |
14.1 |
13.6 |
12.3 |
13.2 |
11.6 |
5. It the President elections takes place tomorrow in Belarus, who would you vote for?
|
Variant of answer |
09'05 |
11'06 |
09'07 |
09'08 |
03'09 |
06'09 |
09'09 |
12'09 |
03'10 |
06'10 |
|
A. Lukashenko |
47.3 |
49.7 |
44.9 |
42.5 |
39.2 |
40.9 |
39.4 |
42.5 |
42.7 |
45.6 |
|
A. Milinkevich |
1.4 |
10.3 |
12.3 |
6.2 |
4.4 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
4.3 |
4.7 |
5.4 |
|
A. Kozulin |
1.8 |
3.5 |
3.2 |
5.2 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
4.4 |
|
S. Gaidukevich |
0.3 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
|
S. Sidorsky |
0 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
|
A. Lebedko |
3.5 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
|
S. Kalyakin |
1.1 |
0.1 |
0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
|
Other politicians |
12.3 |
2.8 |
1.9 |
0.6 |
2.3 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
3.6 |
2.1 |
|
Other answers |
3.5 |
3.0 |
5.9 |
4.6 |
5.3 |
7.1 |
6.4 |
5.2 |
5.0 |
5.7 |
|
DA/NA |
28.8 |
28.0 |
29.5 |
38.3 |
44.0 |
41.9 |
44.7 |
42.5 |
38.1 |
33.7 |
6. If the referendum on Russia-Belarus unification takes place today, who would you vote?
|
Variant of answer |
11'06 |
09'07 |
03'08 |
09'08 |
12'08 |
03'09 |
06'09 |
09'09 |
03'10 |
06'10 |
|
For unification |
46.4 |
33.8 |
35.8 |
46.3 |
35.7 |
33.1 |
38.8 |
39.1 |
32.1 |
29.3 |
|
Against unification |
33.5 |
47.4 |
41.6 |
35.8 |
38.8 |
43.2 |
44.3 |
40.6 |
44.5 |
48.6 |
|
Wouldn’t vote |
10.6 |
11.0 |
11.3 |
9.7 |
14.5 |
15.8 |
12.4 |
14.2 |
17.7 |
13.5 |
|
DA/NA |
9.5 |
7.8 |
11.3 |
8.2 |
11.0 |
7.9 |
4.5 |
6.1 |
5.7 |
8.6 |
7. If you were to choose between integration with Russia and accession to the European Union, which one would you choose?
|
Variant of answer |
09'05 |
04'06 |
12'07 |
09'08 |
03'09 |
06'09 |
09'09 |
12'09 |
03'10 |
06'10 |
|
Integration with Russia |
59.2 |
56.1 |
47.5 |
54.0 |
42.4 |
42.1 |
38.3 |
42.1 |
41.4 |
37.7 |
|
Accession to the European Union |
28.6 |
31.9 |
33.3 |
26.2 |
35.1 |
41.4 |
42.7 |
42.3 |
40.4 |
38.9 |
|
DA/NA |
12.2 |
12.0 |
19.2 |
19.8 |
22.5 |
16.5 |
19.0 |
15.7 |
18.2 |
23.4 |
8. If the referendum on accession to the European Union takes place tomorrow, how would you vote?
|
Variant of answer |
12'05 |
11'06 |
09'07 |
09'08 |
03'09 |
06'09 |
09'09 |
12'09 |
03'10 |
06'10 |
|
For |
32.0 |
36.0 |
29.9 |
26.7 |
34.9 |
41.4 |
44.1 |
40.7 |
36.2 |
36.4 |
|
Against |
26.8 |
36.2 |
46.7 |
51.9 |
36.3 |
39.8 |
32.8 |
34.6 |
37.2 |
39.4 |
|
Wouldn’t vote |
20.4 |
15.5 |
12.5 |
12.2 |
17.8 |
10.8 |
14.8 |
15.2 |
20.1 |
15.3 |
|
DA/NA |
20.8 |
12.3 |
10.9 |
9.2 |
11.0 |
8.0 |
8.3 |
9.5 |
6.5 |
8.9 |
9. What TV channels do you watch? (answers – yes I do)
|
Variant of answer |
02'06 |
04'06 |
11'06 |
01'07 |
05'07 |
09'07 |
09'08 |
10'08 |
03'09 |
09'09 |
|
Belarusian TV (BT, ONT, STV ect.) |
88.3 |
91.9 |
89.0 |
90.5 |
88.3 |
90.1 |
91.2 |
90.1 |
92.4 |
89.8 |
|
Russian TV (ORT, RTR, NTV ect.) |
80.2 |
86.0 |
85.7 |
87.4 |
83.7 |
88.6 |
81.5 |
84.0 |
85.6 |
85.0 |
|
Local TV |
25.6 |
48.1 |
40.8 |
47.1 |
41.7 |
42.1 |
41.7 |
46.2 |
54.2 |
47.2 |
|
Cable TV |
32.7 |
40.5 |
40.3 |
35.9 |
41.3 |
39.4 |
37.5 |
39.0 |
43.3 |
40.9 |
|
Russian "Euronews" |
– |
28.9 |
19.1 |
22.1 |
17.0 |
23.6 |
13.9 |
16.2 |
16.0 |
15.4 |
|
Satellite TV |
16.2 |
18.7 |
18.4 |
20.5 |
16.0 |
19.1 |
19.2 |
18.3 |
19.8 |
22.2 |
|
Polish TV |
10.9 |
17.0 |
11.6 |
13.2 |
8.3 |
13.7 |
7.8 |
8.4 |
7.8 |
7.6 |
|
RTVI for Belarus |
– |
12.4 |
6.8 |
7.0 |
6.9 |
8.5 |
5.8 |
7.6 |
5.8 |
7.0 |
10. Recently new radio stations started broadcasting (in Russian anb Belarusian) for Belarus from EU countries. Do you listen their programs? (answers – yes I do)
|
Variant of answer |
04'06 |
11'06 |
01'07 |
09'07 |
03'08 |
09'08 |
10'08 |
03'09 |
09'09 |
|
European radio for Belarus (Warsaw) |
5.1 |
6.2 |
6.5 |
7.1 |
5.3 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
3.6 |
2.4 |
|
Radio "Racia" (Belostok) |
3.2 |
4.5 |
4.4 |
4.9 |
4.7 |
2.5 |
1.4 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
|
Belarusian program of radio "Polonia" (Warsaw) |
4.4 |
4.5 |
4.3 |
4.9 |
5.6 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
|
"Belarusian chronicles" radio "Deutsche welle" (Bonn) |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.5 |
4.2 |
3.7 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
|
Radio "Baltic wave" (Vilnius) |
2.4 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
2.2 |
1.7 |
11. Do you use internet?
|
Variant of answer |
09'05 |
11'06 |
12'07 |
09'08 |
03'09 |
09'09 |
12'09 |
03'10 |
06'10 |
|
Yes, daily |
4.1 |
6.3 |
7.0 |
9.4 |
9.2 |
15.3 |
13.0 |
16.9 |
13.1 |
|
Yes, some times a week |
7.0 |
7.7 |
8.7 |
11.9 |
12.1 |
12.9 |
11.7 |
15.5 |
16.1 |
|
Yes, some times a month |
6.6 |
11.1 |
6.4 |
11.3 |
7.6 |
7.6 |
12.7 |
12.2 |
9.8 |
|
Yes, some times a year |
2.9 |
4.1 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
4.0 |
3.1 |
4.3 |
|
No |
68.4 |
65.1 |
69.1 |
60.2 |
64.2 |
55.4 |
51.1 |
48.0 |
52.7 |
|
I have no idea what it is |
1.9 |
5.5 |
5.0 |
3.6 |
2.6 |
5.7 |
7.5 |
4.3 |
4.0 |
|
NA |
9.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12. Do you want the restoration of the USSR?
|
Variant of answer |
11'93 |
11'97 |
11'99 |
04'02 |
06'04 |
04'06 |
12'08 |
12'09 |
|
Yes |
55.1 |
49.9 |
38.0 |
38.8 |
39.5 |
26.7 |
21.5 |
26.7 |
|
No |
22.3 |
25.5 |
30.1 |
42.6 |
50.8 |
63.4 |
63.3 |
60.5 |
|
DA/NA |
22.6 |
24.6 |
31.9 |
18.6 |
9.7 |
9.9 |
15.2 |
12.8 |
| 
