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On June 2-12, 2008 independent sociologists conducted a public opinion poll covering the most topical aspects of life in Belarus (those face-to-face interviewed are 1502 persons aged 18 and over, margin of error doesn't exceed 0.03). Below you may find commentaries to the most important findings of these sociological procedure
ONE MORE MESSAGE
Annual message made by president of Belarus, A. Lukashenko, attracted much public attention. However, as it can be seen from the table below, this attention was 18.5 points higher last year. What is the reason of such a failing regularity? The answer is evident. The majority of common people and Belarusians as well, live their ordinary lives full of common problems...
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GETTING A C-GRADE
In the country where only one person aspires to the role of a politician in the commanding elite and contenders from the opposition camp are proclaimed "geeks", electoral rating of "the only political figure" turns into a universal integral index. That is why current fluctuations of such a rating let analysts judge about personal popularity of its possessor, as well as about processes which are taking place in the country on the macro levels (economic, political and social ones)...
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THE INTERMEDIATE RESULT OF THE FINAL PROCESS
Debureaucratization ranks by no means last in the list of tasks which the Belarusian state officials are to fulfill in the current year. The Belarusians learnt that the given task had been put on the agenda several minutes before the beginning of 2008 from the congratulation of the head of state...
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AN ALLEY OF HEROES
It is possible to define the state of historic consciousness of the society by what figures of the near and distant past, as well as of the present time they consider their heroes. In this connection respondents in the course of the opinion poll were once again asked a question whom they considered an ideal politician. At that they were allowed to choose all the figures from the list if they wanted...
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WHAT TO WISH CHILDREN?
In April in the message of president to the National Assembly a great task on transition of Belarus from undeveloped to a leading country was formulated. A. Lukashenko, using a sport terminology, explained that this task should have two stages of performing. The first stage is to become a member of "the race after the leader", the second one is to lead a direct struggle for leadership...
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THE NUMBERS OF "THE SO-CALLED" HAVE GROWN
If one agrees with the official propaganda than Belarus is actively turning into the country of "the so-called". Naturally, the matter first of all concerns the opposition. As it is known, normal (constructive) opposition existed in the country for a short period of time and after the victory of its "leader" A. Lukashenko at the first presidential election it stopped existing...
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CURRENCY FOR SUPPORTERS OF CHANGES
It is normal to consider that the Belarusians are too emotional, that is why they vote "listening to their hearts". It is possible to give other facts of merely emotional-personal reactions of people to different events. However, if we step downwards from political events to everyday ones, we will find quite rational people, who do nothing if they know no profits should be expected...
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EVERYBODY'S "NO" TO RUSSIAN RUBLE
A Belarusian has many appearances, as any person of any nationality has. Another matter is that any person of the given nation always has its own set of "appearances", always a unique one. Mostly the uniqueness of this set determines the "appearance" of the nation, it means characteristics which are typical only to the nation given...
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"PREVED, MEDVED!"
With the help of this popular internet saying one can describe the attitude of the Belarusians towards the new president of Russia. In spite of the fact that the Belarusians have not seen any good deeds (as well as misdeeds) from the new Russian leader so far, he has received an advance of a considerable sympathy credit...
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A BLIND ALLEY MADE BY HANDS
More than two years have passed since the day of the third presidential election; however sociologists of the IISEPS continue to take an interest in the results of that "earth shattering" voting. The result should not change substantially if we make allowance for demography dynamics. As a matter of principle, this simple logic proves to be true...
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WHAT IS THE OPPOSITION NECESSARY FOR?
Answering the question: "Do you consider yourself in opposition to the present power?", 18.6% of respondents answered "yes", 68% answered negatively and 13.4% ducked out of an answer. Even if consider these "duckers" the hidden opposition (this is not quite correct), that means that the share of those supporting the current power is impressive...
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BETWEEN THE CHURCH AND POWER
The change in the level of Belarusians trust in different state and public institutions, perhaps, is mainly characterized by the very society, then by institutions. Orthodox Church, the army and the president institute have been the three institutions in the lead for the last years...
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IN SEARCH FOR BELARUSIAN DEMOS
Popular in recent times in Belarus motto "The state for people" from political science point of view means that there is quite a clear boundary between the state (power) and people. Yet at the very beginning of his first presidential term, A. Lukashenko answering journalist's question: "What sense do you put into the notion of "democracy", "glasnost", "freedom of speech"?"...
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THE EXHAUSTED LIMIT
The search for critical numbers of supporters of changes is the dream of the opposition in any country. The power in the conditions of stability doesn’t anywhere and ever change. In safe for the Belarusian policy of economy years of 2005-2006 the share of supporters maintaining status quo was maximum, but for the last two years it has decreased by 16 points...
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OPTIMISM OF THE POTENTIALLY UNEMPLOYED
One of the main conclusions made during the analysis of results of public opinion poll of March, 2008, was that the ability of the Belarusian society to adjust to negative changes is underestimated by analysts. In particular, the acceleration of the inflation which resulted in the shock in the end of last year has passed quickly enough into the category of habitual daily occurrence...
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ALL TO THE ELECTIONS!
The power has definitively determined parliamentary elections. On June, 24 the head of the state signed decree ¹ 344 according to which elections will pass on September, 28. This time the certain intrigue is not excluded. In his numerous public statements A. Lukashenko has not rejected the possibility of electing several deputies from the opposition into the House of Representatives...
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ECHO OF WAR
Belarus had the greatest specific losses during the Second World War in comparison with all other countries of the world. Up to now the memory of that war remains one of the strongest historical recollections and feelings of the Belarusians. Indirectly the policy of the present power which appeals to these feelings to a place and out of place reminds it...
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ABOUT POLITICAL TECHNOLOGISTS AND POLITICIANS
In Pasternak’s poem "High illness" there is such a line about Lenin: "He led the direction of thought and only then the country". The brilliant poet, as it is known, did not study the course of political science, which did not prevent him from distinguishing management of real events from manipulation of their reflection in the heads of people...
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