IISEPS — Independent Institute of Socio-Economic and Politycal Studies

RESULTS OF THE NATION OPINION POLL CONDUCTED IN FEBRUARY OF 2006
(1430 persons interviewed, margin of error does not exceed 0.03)

14. For whom would you vote at the presidential election if the following three candidates appear on the ballot?

Variant of answer	%
S. Gaidukevich	7.2
А. Kozulin	12.8
А. Lukashenko	58.5
None of them	12.8
DA/NA	8.7

15. If only one candidate competes with A. Lukashenko at the presidential election, would you vote for him or for A. Lukashenko?

Variant of answer	%
I would vote for an alternative candidate	30.6
I would vote for A. Lukashenko	58.9
DA/NA	10.5

16. If only one candidate competes with A. Lukashenko at the presidential election, who of the following politicians would you like to see on the ballot?

Variant of answer	%
S. Gaidukevich	13.5
А. Kozulin	10.3
А. Milinkevich	26.6
None of them	30.5
DA/NA	19.1

17. For whom of the presidential candidates wouldn’t you vote under any circumstances?

Variant of answer	%
S. Gaidukevich	19.0
А. Kozulin	12.3
А. Lukashenko	23.8
А. Milinkevich	12.9
None of them	10.7
DA/NA	21.3

(Respondent has chosen a candidate for whom he/she is going to vote and a candidate for whom he/she won’t vote under any circumstances)
18. Are you positive about this or you may still change your opinion?

Variant of answer	%
Absolutely positive	57.3
May change my opinion	26.1
DA/NA	16.6

19. Do you think presidential candidates have the same access to the state-run mass media as A. Lukashenko has?

Variant of answer	%
Yes	34.0
No	55.3
DA/NA	10.7

20. Have you received any leaflets about presidential candidates or met with their representatives?

Variant of answer	%
Yes	47.1
No	50.1
NA	2.8

21. If you have received or met, about whom and with whose representatives then? (more than one answer is possible)

Variant of answer	%
А. Lukashenko	29.2
А. Milinkevich	29.9
А. Kozulin	16.5
S. Gaidukevich	13.6
Refused to answer	7.1
Don’t remember (find it difficult to answer)	7.9

22. Do you have enough information about candidates to be sure about your choice?

Variant of answer	%
Yes	43.3
No	55.3
NA	1.4

23. Will you have more trust to the results of this presidential election if independent observers are present at the election?

Variant of answer	%
Yes	62.5
No	26.2
DA/NA	11.3

24. Can voting results be trusted if representatives for opposition were not presented in the election commission?

Variant of answer	%
Yes	49.6
No	40.1
DA/NA	10.3

25. If you decide that the presidential election is rigged what will you most likely do?

Variant of answer	%
Accept the results as they cannot be changed	37.1
Join mass protests to try and change the results	9.2
Will not believe the results and will feel frustrated, but I will not take part in mass actions of protest	34.9
DA/NA	18.8

26. If the presidential election takes place tomorrow in Belarus, for whom would you vote? (open question)

Variant of answer	%
А. Lukashenko	57.6
А. Milinkevich	15.4
А. Kozulin	5.2
S. Gaidukevich	4.3
Other politician (7 names, under 0.5% each)	1.1
Other variant of answer	2.2
DA/NA	14.2