IISEPS — Independent Institute of Socio-Economic and Politycal Studies

RESULTS OF THE NATION OPINION POLL CONDUCTED IN SEPTEMBER OF 2005
(1504 persons interviewed, margin of error does not exceed 0.03)

11. In his recent speech, A. Lukashenko noted the following about the presidential election: “Sorry for my straightforwardness, but I think people will support me. Do they need a pig in a poke? Why trading bad for worse? This is how every person thinks nowadays”. Do you agree with this opinion?

Variant of answer	%
Yes	50.2
No	40.5
DA/NA	9.3

12. Speaking recently at the Russian TV, A. Lukashenko stated the following: “I’m 99% certain that the Belarusian people consider the president an incorrupt and honest man.” Do you as well think that people consider A. Lukashenko an honest and incorrupt man?

Variant of answer	%
Yes	43.9
No	41.2
DA/NA	14.9

13. Do you think there should be an opposition to the current authorities in Belarus?

Variant of answer	%
Yes	57.6
No	28.8
DA/NA	13.6

14. Would you like to know more about the Belarusian opposition – political parties and other organizations, its leaders, programs, etc.?

Variant of answer	%
Yes, I’d like to	50.0
No, I wouldn’t like to	27.8
No, I’m not concerned about this	22.2

15. Did you happen to meet and talk with members of any political party over the past four years?

Variant of answer	%
No	82.1
Yes	17.5
NA	0.4

16. Do you place yourself among the opposition to the current authorities?

Variant of answer	%
Yes	17.2
No	70.4
DA/NA	12.4

17. If A. Lukashenko runs for the third presidential term and a candidate for democratic opposition stands his rival, for whom of them would you vote?

Variant of answer	%
For A. Lukashenko	47.5
For a candidate for democratic opposition	25.5
None of them	12.8
DA/NA	14.2

18. Who do you think will win the presidential election of 2006?

Variant of answer	%
А. Lukashenko	72.0
V. Frolov	0.5
А. Voitovich	0.4
А. Lebedko	0.4
S. Kalyakin	0.3
А. Klimov	0.3
А. Kozulin	0.3
Other politician (10 names, under 0.3% each)	1.2
Other variant of answer	1.5
DA/NA	23.1

19. Who or what can stop A. Lukashenko from winning the presidential election of 2006? (more than one answer is possible)

Variant of answer	%
Nothing	34.6
Aggravation of economic situation in the country	20.5
West	18.5
Willingness of the Belarusians to achieve democratic changes	16.5
Sole democratic candidate	7.6
Russia	3.4
DA	9.9

20. Are you ready to take part in street actions of protest if the results of the presidential election are falsified?

Variant of answer	%
Yes	15.4
No	76.0
DA/NA	8.6