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RESULTS OF THE NATION OPINION POLL conducted on September 2-12, 2015

RESULTS OF THE NATION OPINION POLL conducted on September 2-12, 2015
(1.502 persons interviewed, margin of error does not exceed 0.03)

1. Do you consider it important to carry out market-friendly reforms in Belarus?

Variant of answer

%

Yes

57.5

No

27.3

DA/NA

15.2

2. If there are protests against the worsening of financial standing in your city (region), are you ready to take part in them?

Variant of answer

%

Yes

17.3

No

71.5

DA/NA

11.2

3. Do you think that majority of people in Belarus can live without constant care and guardianship from the state?

Variant of answer

%

Majority can live without state care

31.5

Majority cannot live without state care

58.7

DA/NA

9.8

4. On the 28th of July Russia provided Belarus with another credit of $ 760 billion. What is your attitude to this?

Variant of answer

%

Positive. Belarusian economy cannot efficiently grow without financial help from Russia

53.2

Negative. Belarus becomes more and more financially dependent on Russian oligarchic capital

25.6

I don’t care

15.4

DA/NA

5.8

5. On the 17th of July President A. Lukashenko had signed a law “On battling corruption”. There are different opinions about this law. Which one do you share?

Variant of answer

%

This law will increase the efficiency of battling corruption

37.8

This law won’t influence the level of corruption

34.2

This is just propaganda, and the level of corruption will only increase

22.3

DA/NA

5.7

6. What’s more important for you today: maintaining of the current situation in the country or changing it?

Variant of answer

%

Maintaining of the situation is more important

33.3

Changing of the situation is more important

52.7

DA/NA

14.0

7. Are you going to vote in presidential election in October 2015?

Variant of answer

%

Sure yes

36.2

Rather yes

36.3

Rather no

16.0

Sure no

7.8

DA/NA

3.7

8. What are the traits that the future President of Belarus should have according to you?

Variant of answer

%

He should support the current course

37.4

He should support cardinal changes to the current course

40.0

Doesn’t matter

22.4

NA

0.2

He should support further rapprochement with the EU

45.6

He should support further integration with Russia

23.3

Doesn’t matter

30.7

NA

0.4

He should support market economy

22.9

He should support state-planned economy

43.1

Doesn’t matter

33.4

NA

0.6

He should support the strengthening of presidential power

30.3

He should support the separation of powers

37.5

Doesn’t matter

30.5

NA

1.7

9. Which problems will you consider as the most important ones when taking a decision for whom you will vote in the next presidential elections? (more than one answer is possible)

Variant of answer

%

Peace and stability

47.6

Overall quality of life

37.0

Price hike

30.0

Jobs

20.3

Healthcare improvement

15.5

Democracy and independence of Belarus

15.0

Payout of pensions

8.0

Relations with the West

6.9

Relations with Russia

5.8

Corruption is society

4.4

Education

3.5

Freedom of belief

2.0

Criminality

1.9

10. On the 20th of July the CEC closed the registration of initiative groups for nomination of candidates for the post of the President. If the names of politicians listed below are in the voting paper, who will you vote for?

Variant of answer

%

Alexander Lukashenko, the President of Republic of Belarus

45.7

Tatyana Korotkevich, the candidate from the “People’s Referendum” campaign

17.9

Sergei Gaydukevich, the leader of the Liberal Democrat Party

11.4

Victor Tereschenko, economist

8.1

Nikolai Ulakhovich, the ataman of Belarusian Cossacks

3.6

NA

13.3

11. Do you think that the President will be elected in the first ballot or a second ballot will be required?

Variant of answer

%

The President will be elected in the first ballot

75.6

The President will be elected in the second ballot

10.8

DA/NA

13.6

12. Do you think that the elections of the President of Belarus in October 2015 will be free and fair?

Variant of answer

%

Yes

47.6

No

34.4

DA/NA

18.0

13. According to you, do all candidates have equal conditions in the presidential campaign?

Variant of answer

%

Yes

36.4

No

48.9

DA/NA

14.7

 

14. Do you have enough information about the candidates to make your choice?

Variant of answer

%

Yes

43.0

No

56.7

DA/NA

0.3

15. Have you received informational materials of some of the candidates or have you ever met his representatives and discussed with them?

Variant of answer

%

Yes

32.4

No

67.2

NA

0.4

16. Which of the following statements do you agree with?

Variant of answer

%

Central Election Commission of Republic of Belarus is an unbiased institution, guided only by the law

39.9

Central Election Commission of Republic of Belarus is an institution, guided mostly by the instructions of the President

50.0

DA/NA

10.1

17. Do you share the opinion that the results of the elections this year are predetermined?

Variant of answer

%

Yes

57.6

No

28.8

DA/NA

13.6

18. Do you agree that official results of elections are trustworthy?

Variant of answer

%

Yes

49.9

No

32.7

DA/NA

17.4

19. If you believe that the results of presidential elections would be falsified, how would you react to this?

Variant of answer

%

I will accept them because it will be impossible to change them

48.6

I’ll take part in mass protests to try to change these results

10.1

I won’t believe these results and will be very upset, but I won’t take part in mass protests

26.4

DA/NA

14.9

20. Do you believe that the elections of the President will be recognized by the international community?

Variant of answer

%

Yes, they will be recognized

50.1

They will be recognized by Russia, but not by the West

31.4

They won’t be recognized either by Russia or by the West

8.2

DA/NA

10.3

21. What is your attitude to the boycott, supported by a part of opposition, of the future presidential elections?

Variant of answer

%

Positive

15.5

Negative

27.4

Indifferent

25.1

Never heard about it

26.9

DA/NA

5.1

22. If the President elections takes place tomorrow in Belarus, who would you vote for?

Variant of answer

%

А. Lukashenko

45.7

T. Korotkevich

7.2

S. Gaydukevich

4.7

N. Statkevich

3.5

V. Tereshchenko

2.8

N. Ulakhovich

1.5

B. Neklyaev

1.1

S. Kalyakin

1.0

A. Lebedko

1.0

А. Sannikov

1.0

Other politicians

2.0

Other answers

4.6

DA/NA

23.9

23. Why are you ready to vote for this politician? (more than one answer is possible)

Variant of answer

%

He has real power and can improve the situation in the country

29.3

He expresses interests of people like me

19.8

I like this politician for a long time

14.7

Majority of people I know support him

7.8

Other

6.3

DA

5.4

24. If you knew a person who could successfully compete with A. Lukashenko in the next presidential elections, would you vote for him or for A. Lukashenko?

Variant of answer

%

I would vote for this candidate

38.7

I would vote for A. Lukashenko

32.3

I don’t know yet, I would decide depending on the circumstances

28.1

NA

0.9

25. According to you, how are Western countries treated in Belarus? (more than one answer is possible)

Variant of answer

%

With respect

21.1

With sympathy

7.0

With concern

21.1

With disregard

8.3

With fear

6.8

Without any special feelings

32.8

DA

6.9

26. If there is a war between the Union State of Russia and Belarus (Russia) and the US and NATO countries, who will win according to you?

Variant of answer

%

The Union State of Russia and Belarus

20.8

The USA and NATO countries

19.4

There can be no winners in such a war

47.7

DA/NA

12.1