RESULTS OF THE NATION OPINION POLL conducted on September 2-12, 2015
(1.502 persons interviewed, margin of error does not exceed 0.03)
1. Do you consider it important to carry out market-friendly reforms in Belarus?
Variant of answer |
% |
Yes |
57.5 |
No |
27.3 |
DA/NA |
15.2 |
2. If there are protests against the worsening of financial standing in your city (region), are you ready to take part in them?
Variant of answer |
% |
Yes |
17.3 |
No |
71.5 |
DA/NA |
11.2 |
3. Do you think that majority of people in Belarus can live without constant care and guardianship from the state?
Variant of answer |
% |
Majority can live without state care |
31.5 |
Majority cannot live without state care |
58.7 |
DA/NA |
9.8 |
4. On the 28th of July Russia provided Belarus with another credit of $ 760 billion. What is your attitude to this?
Variant of answer |
% |
Positive. Belarusian economy cannot efficiently grow without financial help from Russia |
53.2 |
Negative. Belarus becomes more and more financially dependent on Russian oligarchic capital |
25.6 |
I don’t care |
15.4 |
DA/NA |
5.8 |
5. On the 17th of July President A. Lukashenko had signed a law “On battling corruption”. There are different opinions about this law. Which one do you share?
Variant of answer |
% |
This law will increase the efficiency of battling corruption |
37.8 |
This law won’t influence the level of corruption |
34.2 |
This is just propaganda, and the level of corruption will only increase |
22.3 |
DA/NA |
5.7 |
6. What’s more important for you today: maintaining of the current situation in the country or changing it?
Variant of answer |
% |
Maintaining of the situation is more important |
33.3 |
Changing of the situation is more important |
52.7 |
DA/NA |
14.0 |
7. Are you going to vote in presidential election in October 2015?
Variant of answer |
% |
Sure yes |
36.2 |
Rather yes |
36.3 |
Rather no |
16.0 |
Sure no |
7.8 |
DA/NA |
3.7 |
8. What are the traits that the future President of Belarus should have according to you?
Variant of answer |
% |
He should support the current course |
37.4 |
He should support cardinal changes to the current course |
40.0 |
Doesn’t matter |
22.4 |
NA |
0.2 |
He should support further rapprochement with the EU |
45.6 |
He should support further integration with Russia |
23.3 |
Doesn’t matter |
30.7 |
NA |
0.4 |
He should support market economy |
22.9 |
He should support state-planned economy |
43.1 |
Doesn’t matter |
33.4 |
NA |
0.6 |
He should support the strengthening of presidential power |
30.3 |
He should support the separation of powers |
37.5 |
Doesn’t matter |
30.5 |
NA |
1.7 |
9. Which problems will you consider as the most important ones when taking a decision for whom you will vote in the next presidential elections? (more than one answer is possible)
Variant of answer |
% |
Peace and stability |
47.6 |
Overall quality of life |
37.0 |
Price hike |
30.0 |
Jobs |
20.3 |
Healthcare improvement |
15.5 |
Democracy and independence of Belarus |
15.0 |
Payout of pensions |
8.0 |
Relations with the West |
6.9 |
Relations with Russia |
5.8 |
Corruption is society |
4.4 |
Education |
3.5 |
Freedom of belief |
2.0 |
Criminality |
1.9 |
10. On the 20th of July the CEC closed the registration of initiative groups for nomination of candidates for the post of the President. If the names of politicians listed below are in the voting paper, who will you vote for?
Variant of answer |
% |
Alexander Lukashenko, the President of Republic of Belarus |
45.7 |
Tatyana Korotkevich, the candidate from the “People’s Referendum” campaign |
17.9 |
Sergei Gaydukevich, the leader of the Liberal Democrat Party |
11.4 |
Victor Tereschenko, economist |
8.1 |
Nikolai Ulakhovich, the ataman of Belarusian Cossacks |
3.6 |
NA |
13.3 |
11. Do you think that the President will be elected in the first ballot or a second ballot will be required?
Variant of answer |
% |
The President will be elected in the first ballot |
75.6 |
The President will be elected in the second ballot |
10.8 |
DA/NA |
13.6 |
12. Do you think that the elections of the President of Belarus in October 2015 will be free and fair?
Variant of answer |
% |
Yes |
47.6 |
No |
34.4 |
DA/NA |
18.0 |
13. According to you, do all candidates have equal conditions in the presidential campaign?
Variant of answer |
% |
Yes |
36.4 |
No |
48.9 |
DA/NA |
14.7 |
14. Do you have enough information about the candidates to make your choice?
Variant of answer |
% |
Yes |
43.0 |
No |
56.7 |
DA/NA |
0.3 |
15. Have you received informational materials of some of the candidates or have you ever met his representatives and discussed with them?
Variant of answer |
% |
Yes |
32.4 |
No |
67.2 |
NA |
0.4 |
16. Which of the following statements do you agree with?
Variant of answer |
% |
Central Election Commission of Republic of Belarus is an unbiased institution, guided only by the law |
39.9 |
Central Election Commission of Republic of Belarus is an institution, guided mostly by the instructions of the President |
50.0 |
DA/NA |
10.1 |
17. Do you share the opinion that the results of the elections this year are predetermined?
Variant of answer |
% |
Yes |
57.6 |
No |
28.8 |
DA/NA |
13.6 |
18. Do you agree that official results of elections are trustworthy?
Variant of answer |
% |
Yes |
49.9 |
No |
32.7 |
DA/NA |
17.4 |
19. If you believe that the results of presidential elections would be falsified, how would you react to this?
Variant of answer |
% |
I will accept them because it will be impossible to change them |
48.6 |
I’ll take part in mass protests to try to change these results |
10.1 |
I won’t believe these results and will be very upset, but I won’t take part in mass protests |
26.4 |
DA/NA |
14.9 |
20. Do you believe that the elections of the President will be recognized by the international community?
Variant of answer |
% |
Yes, they will be recognized |
50.1 |
They will be recognized by Russia, but not by the West |
31.4 |
They won’t be recognized either by Russia or by the West |
8.2 |
DA/NA |
10.3 |
21. What is your attitude to the boycott, supported by a part of opposition, of the future presidential elections?
Variant of answer |
% |
Positive |
15.5 |
Negative |
27.4 |
Indifferent |
25.1 |
Never heard about it |
26.9 |
DA/NA |
5.1 |
22. If the President elections takes place tomorrow in Belarus, who would you vote for?
Variant of answer |
% |
А. Lukashenko |
45.7 |
T. Korotkevich |
7.2 |
S. Gaydukevich |
4.7 |
N. Statkevich |
3.5 |
V. Tereshchenko |
2.8 |
N. Ulakhovich |
1.5 |
B. Neklyaev |
1.1 |
S. Kalyakin |
1.0 |
A. Lebedko |
1.0 |
А. Sannikov |
1.0 |
Other politicians |
2.0 |
Other answers |
4.6 |
DA/NA |
23.9 |
23. Why are you ready to vote for this politician? (more than one answer is possible)
Variant of answer |
% |
He has real power and can improve the situation in the country |
29.3 |
He expresses interests of people like me |
19.8 |
I like this politician for a long time |
14.7 |
Majority of people I know support him |
7.8 |
Other |
6.3 |
DA |
5.4 |
24. If you knew a person who could successfully compete with A. Lukashenko in the next presidential elections, would you vote for him or for A. Lukashenko?
Variant of answer |
% |
I would vote for this candidate |
38.7 |
I would vote for A. Lukashenko |
32.3 |
I don’t know yet, I would decide depending on the circumstances |
28.1 |
NA |
0.9 |
25. According to you, how are Western countries treated in Belarus? (more than one answer is possible)
Variant of answer |
% |
With respect |
21.1 |
With sympathy |
7.0 |
With concern |
21.1 |
With disregard |
8.3 |
With fear |
6.8 |
Without any special feelings |
32.8 |
DA |
6.9 |
26. If there is a war between the Union State of Russia and Belarus (Russia) and the US and NATO countries, who will win according to you?
Variant of answer |
% |
The Union State of Russia and Belarus |
20.8 |
The USA and NATO countries |
19.4 |
There can be no winners in such a war |
47.7 |
DA/NA |
12.1 |