(1430 persons interviewed, margin of error does not exceed 0.03)
1. What problems are the most topical for you when it comes to taking decision in favor of a presidential candidate? (more than one answer is possible)
Variant of answer |
% |
General standard of living |
44.2 |
Rise in prices |
31.8 |
Improvement of healthcare |
24.8 |
Employment |
23.1 |
Democratization and independence in Belarus |
18.1 |
Payment of retirement pensions |
15.4 |
Corruptibility in the society |
9.4 |
Crime |
8.8 |
Relations with Russia |
8.4 |
Education |
7.7 |
Relations with the West |
5.3 |
Freedom of religion |
1.5 |
2. In his election pledges of 2001, A. Lukashenko stated that the average wages for Belarus would increase five-fold by the year 2006. In your opinion, has he fulfilled or not this promise?
Variant of answer |
% |
Yes, the average wages in the country increased five-fold |
23.8 |
No, the average wages ni the country has not increased five-fold |
57.9 |
DA/NA |
18.3 |
3. How would you generally evaluate your standard of living?
Variant of answer |
% |
Very good |
1.8 |
Rather good |
16.1 |
Average |
57.6 |
Rather bad |
16.9 |
Very Bad |
6.7 |
DA/NA |
0.9 |
4. Exit polls are presently conducted in many countries during elections or referenda so as to compare their results with the official ones. Such polls were as well conducted in Belarus during the referendum of October 17, 2004. Would you like to have them during the presidential election of March 19 and have their results publicized?
Variant of answer |
% |
Yes |
53.0 |
No |
17.3 |
Doesn’t make difference as I’m not interested in this |
23.5 |
DA/NA |
6.2 |
5. In your opinion, is the Orange Revolution possible in Belarus like it happened in Ukraine?
Variant of answer |
% |
Yes |
12.0 |
No |
76.8 |
DA/NA |
11.2 |
6. In your opinion, did A. Lukashenko performed his presidential duties so well that he should be re-elected, or you rather think it is time to give chance to some other candidate?
Variant of answer |
% |
Re-elect A. Lukashenko |
53.4 |
Give chance to a new candidate |
37.0 |
DA/NA |
9.6 |
7. What is your opinion about people’s readiness in Belarus to express their political standpoints?
Variant of answer |
% |
No one is afraid to express political viewpoints |
23.7 |
Few people are afraid |
23.2 |
Many people are afraid |
32.2 |
All are afraid |
13.5 |
DA/NA |
7.4 |
8. Which statement given below do you agree with?
Variant of answer |
% |
Central Election Commission in Belarus is the body following president’s regulations first of all |
43.9 |
Central Election Commission in Belarus is an unbiased body following the law only |
42.4 |
DA/NA |
13.7 |
9. Will you come to vote at the presidential election on March 19?
Variant of answer |
% |
I will surely come to vote |
48.4 |
Most likely, I will come to vote |
31.6 |
Perhaps, I will and perhaps I will not come to voting |
12.3 |
Most likely, I will not come to vote |
4.1 |
I surely won’t come to vote |
2.3 |
DA/NA |
1.3 |
10. In you opinion, will the presidential election of March 19 be free and fair?
Variant of answer |
% |
Yes |
54.9 |
No |
32.1 |
DA/NA |
13.0 |
11. What is your attitude to the politicians listed below?
Political Figure |
Very positive |
Rather positive |
Rather negative |
Very negative |
Haven’t heard anything about him |
DA/NA |
S. Gaidukevich, Deputy of the House of Representatives, Chairman of the Liberal Democratic Party |
3.1 |
20.8 |
26.3 |
11.1 |
19.6 |
19.1 |
А. Kozulin, former Head of the Belarusian State University, Chairman of the Belarusian Social Democratic Party (Gromada) |
2.9 |
22.8 |
20.8 |
7.2 |
29.8 |
16.5 |
А. Lukashenko, President of Belarus |
31.8 |
34.0 |
16.5 |
13.4 |
0.6 |
3.7 |
А. Milinkevich, former Vice Mayor of Grodno and activist of the civic movement, elected sole candidate for democratic forces in Belarus |
6.5 |
26.2 |
21.9 |
8.1 |
20.3 |
17.0 |
12. For whom would you vote at the presidential election if the following four candidates appear on the ballot?
Variant of answer |
% |
S. Gaidukevich |
4.5 |
А. Kozulin |
6.4 |
А. Lukashenko |
58.6 |
А. Milinkevich |
16.5 |
None of them |
6.0 |
DA/NA |
8.0 |
13. For whom would you vote at the presidential election if the following three candidates appear on the ballot?
Variant of answer |
% |
S. Gaidukevich |
4.9 |
А. Lukashenko |
57.9 |
А. Milinkevich |
21.1 |
None of them |
7.7 |
DA/NA |
8.4 |
14. For whom would you vote at the presidential election if the following three candidates appear on the ballot?
Variant of answer |
% |
S. Gaidukevich |
7.2 |
А. Kozulin |
12.8 |
А. Lukashenko |
58.5 |
None of them |
12.8 |
DA/NA |
8.7 |
15. If only one candidate competes with A. Lukashenko at the presidential election, would you vote for him or for A. Lukashenko?
Variant of answer |
% |
I would vote for an alternative candidate |
30.6 |
I would vote for A. Lukashenko |
58.9 |
DA/NA |
10.5 |
16. If only one candidate competes with A. Lukashenko at the presidential election, who of the following politicians would you like to see on the ballot?
Variant of answer |
% |
S. Gaidukevich |
13.5 |
А. Kozulin |
10.3 |
А. Milinkevich |
26.6 |
None of them |
30.5 |
DA/NA |
19.1 |
17. For whom of the presidential candidates wouldn’t you vote under any circumstances?
Variant of answer |
% |
S. Gaidukevich |
19.0 |
А. Kozulin |
12.3 |
А. Lukashenko |
23.8 |
А. Milinkevich |
12.9 |
None of them |
10.7 |
DA/NA |
21.3 |
(Respondent has chosen a candidate for whom he/she is going to vote and a candidate for whom he/she won’t vote under any circumstances)
18. Are you positive about this or you may still change your opinion?
Variant of answer |
% |
Absolutely positive |
57.3 |
May change my opinion |
26.1 |
DA/NA |
16.6 |
19. Do you think presidential candidates have the same access to the state-run mass media as A. Lukashenko has?
Variant of answer |
% |
Yes |
34.0 |
No |
55.3 |
DA/NA |
10.7 |
20. Have you received any leaflets about presidential candidates or met with their representatives?
Variant of answer |
% |
Yes |
47.1 |
No |
50.1 |
NA |
2.8 |
21. If you have received or met, about whom and with whose representatives then? (more than one answer is possible)
Variant of answer |
% |
А. Lukashenko |
29.2 |
А. Milinkevich |
29.9 |
А. Kozulin |
16.5 |
S. Gaidukevich |
13.6 |
Refused to answer |
7.1 |
Don’t remember (find it difficult to answer) |
7.9 |
22. Do you have enough information about candidates to be sure about your choice?
Variant of answer |
% |
Yes |
43.3 |
No |
55.3 |
NA |
1.4 |
23. Will you have more trust to the results of this presidential election if independent observers are present at the election?
Variant of answer |
% |
Yes |
62.5 |
No |
26.2 |
DA/NA |
11.3 |
24. Can voting results be trusted if representatives for opposition were not presented in the election commission?
Variant of answer |
% |
Yes |
49.6 |
No |
40.1 |
DA/NA |
10.3 |
25. If you decide that the presidential election is rigged what will you most likely do?
Variant of answer |
% |
Accept the results as they cannot be changed |
37.1 |
Join mass protests to try and change the results |
9.2 |
Will not believe the results and will feel frustrated, but I will not take part in mass actions of protest |
34.9 |
DA/NA |
18.8 |
26. If the presidential election takes place tomorrow in Belarus, for whom would you vote? (open question)
Variant of answer |
% |
А. Lukashenko |
57.6 |
А. Milinkevich |
15.4 |
А. Kozulin |
5.2 |
S. Gaidukevich |
4.3 |
Other politician (7 names, under 0.5% each) |
1.1 |
Other variant of answer |
2.2 |
DA/NA |
14.2 |