E-bulletin of IISEPS Center for Documentation, N 10, 2014 – ISSN 1822-5578 (only Russian)
Content:
Introduction
1. Basic trends of October
2. Chronicle of key events
3. Politics
3.1. Thanks for sincerity and frankness
3.2. Kiev has started to speak Ukrainian
4. Economics
4.1. China takes economical lead
4.2. Brownian motion of Russian economical policy
4.3. Whose pessimism is cooler?
5. Finances
5.1. Foreign debts are sacred
6. Our forecast for November
7. From the IISEPS desktop
Introduction:
Dear readers!
October Belarusian-Russian confrontation concerning compensations in connection with the so called “taxation maneuver” concluded in favor of Belarus. President of Russia V. Putin, as we’ve supposed it, decided not to add another “battle-front” to the list of existing “fronts”. A. Lukashenko in his turn didn’t try to hold back integration initiative of his Russian colleague and pulled away formal obstacles for the functioning of Eurasian Economic Union (EEU).
Having received another tactical bonus (the right to keep taxes for oil products’ export in Belarusian budget) Belarus made another step away from the highway taken by the modern world pushed by the second wave of industrialization.
The process which we called “the reanimation of the Western vector” continued in October. A. Lukashenko found his personal role in the conflict between Ukraine and Russia, and the West evaluated this role positively. There were no breakthrough events in October, but no one really counted on it. As for the working routines, we would like to emphasize the official visit of Deputy Foreign Minister of Poland Tomasz Orlowski to Belarus.
Over two decades A. Lukashenko tries to build up relationship with the West according to the principle “don’t teach me how to live, better give me some financial help”. A renewal of cooperation with IMF (fund’s mission visited Minsk in October) is an example of practical realization of this principle. The results of the visit were evaluated positively by Belarusian side, just as we hoped while making a forecast for October.
Having received another tactical bonus (the right to keep taxes for oil products’ export in Belarusian budget) Belarus made another step away from the highway taken by the modern world pushed by the second wave of industrialization.
The process which we called “the reanimation of the Western vector” continued in October. A. Lukashenko found his personal role in the conflict between Ukraine and Russia, and the West evaluated this role positively. There were no breakthrough events in October, but no one really counted on it. As for the working routines, we would like to emphasize the official visit of Deputy Foreign Minister of Poland Tomasz Orlowski to Belarus.
Over two decades A. Lukashenko tries to build up relationship with the West according to the principle “don’t teach me how to live, better give me some financial help”. A renewal of cooperation with IMF (fund’s mission visited Minsk in October) is an example of practical realization of this principle. The results of the visit were evaluated positively by Belarusian side, just as we hoped while making a forecast for October.
IISEPS executive board